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                                 September 22, 2009

You are here: Home » Impacts of G. Warming » Climate Extremes » Sea Level Rise » Droughts » Hurricane » Methane Clathrate » Arctic Thaw » Arctic Thaw Impacts » Arctic Passage » Arctic Disputes  » Crop Security » Water Security » Soil Security

 

Arctic Warms Twice As Fast As the Rest of the Planet
Permafrost Thaw to Accelerate Faster Than Predicted

Climate change has increased the melting of ice and glaciers like Arctic sea ice, freshwater ice, ice shelves, the Greenland ice sheet, Alpine and Antarctic Peninsula glaciers and ice caps, snow cover and permafrost at an incredibly rapid rate.
Glacier melting
is of great concern as it responds most sensitively to global warming.  
Scientists believe that Greenland, with its melting ice caps and disappearing glaciers, is an accurate thermometer of global warming.

 

Global warming is warming the Arctic almost twice as fast as the rest of the planet, as the ice caps melt and expose the darker land surfaces. The exposed darker ground has a higher heat absorption power as compared to the less absorbing or more reflective nature of snow and ice. In addition, the smaller the area of sea ice, the less the incoming radiation will be reflected and thus more heat is absorbed.

If sea ice continues to contract rapidly over the next several years, scientists would expect an Arctic amplification effect, with the rate of warming of the Arctic land mass to triple, and permafrost thaw to accelerate faster than predicted.

Pic: An iceberg floats in a bay off Ammassalik Island, Greenland July 07, with Arctic sea ice melted to its lowest level ever shattering a record set in 2005.
(AP/John McConnico: CBSnews)
 
 

On land, the majority of Arctic ice is frozen in the Greenland ice sheet. Between 1979 and 2002, the extent of melting in Greenland has increased by an average of 16% – an area roughly the size of Sweden. More than 2 trillion tons of land ice in Greenland, Antarctica and Alaska have melted since 2003, according to new NASA satellite data.

According to a report comprising the research work of y more than 250 scientists, the Arctic Climate Impact Assessment (ACIA), (commissioned by the Arctic Council and funded by the United States, Canada, Russia, Denmark, Iceland, Sweden, Norway and Finland), temperatures in the Arctic will rise by 4oC - 8oC in the next 100 years. The Greenland icecap would melt altogether in 1,000 years and raise global sea levels by about 23 feet, presenting catastrophic consequences to coastal regions around the world. The more immediate impact is the sea level rise of about 4 inches by the end of the century with total melting of the Arctic ice in summers.

Some scientists predict that Arctic waters could even be ice-free in summers by 2013, decades earlier than previously thought. Over the past 30 years, Arctic's average annual temperature has increased four times faster than the average global rise. Meanwhile, air temperatures over the Arctic region has risen by about 2oC above the long-term average for the period 1978 to 2006.

One of the remarkable features of the coastline of northern Ellesmere Island, Nunavut, is the presence of a series of ice shelves 4 500 years old, 10 - 50 m thick ice floating on the sea and attached to land. The Island, previously home to a single giant ice shelf, measuring about 10,000 square km has lost about 90% of its ice in the 20th century. By the year 2000 all that remained of this continuous icy fringe was a series of six ice shelves.

The 6 ice shelves along the northern Ellesmere Island, Canada, in 2004 . The Ayles Ice Shelf broke out in August 2005.
(High Arctic Shelves CEN.ulaval.ca)


In 2001 the largest Ward Hunt Ice Shelf, cracked in two and released 3 billion tonnes of freshwater that were dammed behind it in the Disraeli Fiord epishelf lake.
In August 2005, the Ayles Ice Shelf broke out of the fiord and over the next year moved about 50 km to the west as an ice island. 
By 2008, Markham Ice Shelf, about 55 km2 has broken completely away and drifted into the Arctic Ocean. Researchers of the Centre for Northern Studies at Laval University in Quebec announced that Canada's ice shelves along Ellesmere Island in the Far North had shrunk by 23% that summer alone. The Ellesmere Island now has four very small shelves covering only about 800 km2, which is less than 10% of the original size.

(Disintegrating Ward Hunt Ice Shelf, the largest of the remaining four shelves,
155 square miles,  photo by Denis Sarrazin, Centre d’Etudes Nordiques )

It is another dramatic sign yet of how rising temperatures and retreating sea ice are creating irreversible changes to the country's polar frontier.

"Climate models indicate that the greatest changes, the most severe changes, will happen earliest in the highest northern latitudes..., this will be the starting point for more substantial changes throughout the rest of the planet.... Our indicators are showing us exactly what the climate models predict," said its director.

Climate models forecast the occurrence of climate extremes such as hurricanes, cyclones and floods including Arctic thaw.

 
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References and related news:

Two trillion tons of land ice lost since 2003, rate of Greenland summer ice loss triples 2007 record
WMO confirms “Overall [Arctic] ice volume was less than that in any other year”
Another climate impact comes faster than predicted: Himalayan glaciers “decapitated”
The Antarctic ice sheet hits the fan
Greenland ice loss soars: Bad for you, great for bottled water biz
New data show much of Antarctica is warming than previously thought: Physorg.com

Arctic Melting Shows Global Warming Serious: Javno.com Sep 03, 2008
Arctic Thaw Threatens Siberian Permafrost: Independent.UK. June 14 2008

Hundreds of Miles of Ice Drop from Antarctic Shelf: independent April 29 2009


 
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