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You are here: Home» Global Warming » GHG Effect » GH Gases » GHG Emissions » Climate vs. Weather

Why is Global Warming of Utmost Concern to Mankind ?
Impacts of Climate Change

 

Climate change has the potential to be the greatest environmental threat facing the Earth, the largest driver of human poverty, and the greatest new hazard to human health.

The good news is that we know how to win the fight against global warming.
The mission is to reduce carbon dioxide emissions by 30 gigatons by 2030.
The color is green and the path is renewable.
The planning needs binding political commitments.
Involvement should be at all levels and from all angles.
The effort is ambitious but essential.
The solutions are within our reach and our means.

 

Climate changes happen at all times.
Climate change refers to any significant change in measures of climate (such as temperature, precipitation or wind) lasting for an extended period (decades or longer). Past changes are not unusual as they were of natural origin. But most of the changes within the last 50 years were very unusual, as they were caused by human activities which discharge carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gases at an alarmingly faster rate.

The rise is abnormal - it is the sum of both natural and man-made contributions.
 

One major finding of the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) cited very clear and convincing evidences identifying human activity as the main cause for global warming. Human influences are likely to have been at least 5 times greater than the warming effects from the sun.

Through the paths of industrialization and modernization, energies are consumed at a fast rate, releasing carbon dioxides and other greenhouse gases into the atmosphere. These gases through their blanketing effect, cause the Earth to warm at an alarmingly rate.
 
The average rise in global temperature during the 20th century has been around
0.55oC - 0.74oC
within the recent 40 years. Amongst the warmest years, 11 out of 12 occurred during the last 12 years! 

Scientists warned recently that climate change is happening more rapidly than previously calculated and said the Earth could be in danger of major climatic changes that would trigger widespread social disruption.

Under a business as usual scenario (BAU), that is, if we do not take extra mitigating efforts, the greenhouse gas concentration could be trebled by end of the century, causing a possible temperature rise of 5oC. The impacts then would possibly be beyond human control.

Scientific evidences are becoming more concerning. Emissions growth rates are at the upper boundaries of the IPCC's worst case scenarios, Arctic sea ice loss is faster than forecast, melting of the ice sheet in Greenland and Antarctica is accelerating, sea level rise is at the upper ends of IPCC's projections, and additional non-linear risks have been revealed that could make certain climate changes irreversible.

The risks from climate change are large and growing. We need to contain warming to below 2oC. Predicted warming in excess of 2 degrees Celsius on pre-industrial levels would constitute dangerous climate change and is likely to have disastrous impacts on ecological and human systems. Without immediate action, mankind may loose the ability or methodology to contain warming to below 2oC.

Even if warming is contained to below 2oC, significant climate change is already unavoidable. We are locked into at least 50 years of climate change which we cannot now prevent because of historic greenhouse gas emissions and the time these gases will remain in the atmosphere.

It is clear that to prevent the most serious and irreversible effects of climate change, the world must come to a common consensus and act swiftly to substantially cut emissions.
The costs of strong and urgent action will be less than the costs of inaction.

 

 
 

Global warming impacts have been manifested in:

Rising sea level
Changing of precipitation pattern
      - more frequent and more severe droughts
      - more frequent and more severe floods
      - increase in tropical storm and hurricane intensity and duration.
      - ice melting:
Ecosystem and biodiversity
Thermal structure and quality of water
Crop and livestock production will be increasingly challenged
Increased health risks
Higher warming rate of the troposphere
Higher cooling rate of the stratosphere

 

Rising sea level:

Rising sea level:
Shanghai by night
- with an underlying fear:
The rising sea level may severely disrupt low-lying mega deltas in Asia
 
 

 

Changing of precipitation pattern:
Global warming results in more frequent and more severe droughts.

(Photo: Frequent forest fires
due to intense droughts)

 
     

 

 


Global warming also results in
more frequent and more severe floods. (Photo: A villager rows a boat past huts submerged in floodwaters in the northern Indian state of Assam, Reuters)

Increase in tropical storm and hurricane intensity and duration. Thus storms are projected to be more destructive. Specifically, the number of category 4 and 5 hurricanes have increased by 75% by the year 2007.

 

Ice melting:

Surface melt from the Greenland ice sheet (Photo).

This fresh water river can undermine the stability of the Greenland ice sheet while it makes its way to the sea. Global warming decrease coverage in snow/ice causing stress on fresh water resource.
 

Ecosystem and biodiversity
Agriculture, forestry, and fisheries are among the most climate-sensitive sectors.... more

  Global warming reduces biodiversity and the functioning of most ecosystems. About 20 - 30% of the plant and animal species under studies will face risks of extinction with an increase in global temperatures of 1.5 - 2.5oC (relative to 1990).

The corals and marine shell organisms are in particular, most vulnerable.Coral bleaching was particularly pronounced during 1997-98 strong El Nino year  superimposed with a sea temperature rise that might be linked to global warming.
 
 

References and related news:


Slowdown of Coral Growth Extremely Worrying Guardian.co.uk
An Inconvenient Truth: Staffwww.fullcoll.edu
Many global warming impacts may be irreversible in next 1000 years (01/27/2009)
Food Security: Fao.org

Climate Change: Health and Environment Effects: EPA
Indicators of carbon dioxide 2008: Earth Policy Institute

 

You are here: Home» Global Warming » GHG Effect » GH Gases » GHG Emissions » Climate vs. Weather

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