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China's Coal Energy and Greenhouse Gas Emissions 

It was announced in June 2007 that China has overtaken the United States as the world's biggest emitter of carbon dioxide, the chief greenhouse gas. According to the Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency ( NEAA ), soaring energy demand for coal and a surge in cement production have resulted in China's recorded emissions for 2006 beyond those from the US: China produced 6,200m tonnes of CO2 last year, compared with 5,800m tonnes from the US and 600m tonnes from Britain.

(Figures only include carbon dioxide emissions from fossil fuel burning and cement production. They do not include sources of other greenhouse gases, such as methane from agriculture and nitrous oxide from industrial processes.)

 

  China is the second largest energy consumer in the world after the US, with 360 GW total annual power output due to rapid urbanization (Pic: Shanghai). Coal accounts for 74% of it. According to statistics from the China National Development and Reform Committee, in 2005, 69% of the country's primary energy consumption comes from coal. In China the number of coal-fired
power plants that spring in a week is more than the number that is built in the US in the last two years.


 

 
World Coal Consumption
1990 - 2030)

China is the world's largest   consumer of coal.

(Source: EIA. IEO 2008)

China has fairly rich fossil energy resources, dominated by coal. By 2006, the reserves of coal stood at 1,034 billion tons, and the remaining verified reserves exploitable accounted for 13% of the world total, ranking China third in the world.

There are more than 30,000 coal mines in the country, most are small mines producing a third of the country’s coal. They, in general, operate at low efficiency with low safety regulations.

China coal mines are accident prone, probably due to lack of safely measures. In 2004 alone, 6 000 were killed - 20 a day officially! In 2008,  death toll was 91,172, down 15.1% from 2007, as disclosed by the State Administration of Work Safety (SAWS). It was the first time since 1995 the figure fell below 100,000, according to the chief work safety regulator. The number of accidents fell 19.3% to 413,700 in 2008.

 
Insufficient rail systems
and with the related operational power shortage pose transport problems from the coal-rich north to the energy demanding coastal regions. In ease the problem, efforts are ongoing to work out a better coal delivery system.

(Tricycle Delivering Coal in China Kaixin.com.au)

 
Equally worrying is the emissions of greenhouse gases. In tandem with its rapid economic growth, it needs additional 200 GW of power by 2007, about 80% of which will be coal-fired. This would contribute some 1.17 billion tonnes of new carbon dioxide emissions by 2010, That would wipe out 20% of the targeted overall emissions reduction under the Kyoto Protocol of 5.5 billion tonnes of carbon dioxide over the same period.
 
 

According to the Reference Scenario of the World Energy Outlook 2007, China will overtake the US to become the world's largest energy consumer after 2010. Primary energy demand will double by 2030. Carbon dioxide emission is  projected to account for 28% of the world total. China is also the world’s largest producer and consumer of coal, but its coal resource is not enough to meet demands. It is a net importer of oil, gas and coal.

Despite the economic slowdown in exports and domestic demand in 2008, China’s demand for energy remains high. China has emerged from being a net oil exporter in the early 1990s to become the world’s third-largest net importer of oil in 2006. Natural gas usage in China has also increased rapidly in recent years, and China has looked to raise natural gas imports via pipeline and liquefied natural gas (LNG). During this projected period, China needs to add more than 1 300 GW of electricity, more than the current capacity in the US.

 

China energy production by fuel type, 1980-2015.  Projection shows China’s energy consumption could nearly double in the next twenty years, and virtually all of this new energy will come from coal.:  (Source: EIA)

 

 

 

NEAA, found that in 2007 China’s emissions were 14% higher than those of the United States.

China's emissions per capita
, h
owever, is much lower than US and many industrialized countries. Even then, in honoring its international responsibilities to help tackle the climate change issues.

Carbon emission per capita of China is only 1/4 of the US's

China’s per-capita average of energy resources is very low. It has a large population, resulting in a low per-capita average of energy resources in the world, and thus low emission per capita. The per-capita average of both coal and hydropower resources is 50 percent of the world’s average, while the per-capita average of both oil and natural gas resources is only about one-fifteenth of the world’s average.

China has set its own target to reduce energy consumption per unit of GDP by 20% of 2005 in 2010. Accordingly that would mean reducing energy dependence on coal to 60% by 2020; diversification from coal, with increased output from gas, nuclear and renewable options. Incidentally, this diversification also coincides with China's aim to increase its energy security by reducing its dependence on foreign energy sources.

The Government implements an extensive number of top-down measures to create awareness at all levels (public and industries) to pollution curbing and  energy conservation:

Imposing stricter environmental policies on the CMM projects to lessen pollution and related healthcare problems. In April 2008, the Ministry of Environmental Protection prohibited coal mines from releasing gases containing more than 30% methane. Latest projects secured involves the utilization of methane from coal mine to power its own operation.

Fuel switching, efficient appliances, better heating and cooling systems, and improved building envelope technologies will be needed in the fast-growing buildings sector. By 2020, China will still be dependent on coal for 54% - 65% of its primary energy, even with rapid growth of other fuels and substantial progress in raising the efficiency of coal use.

Obtaining sufficient supply of natural gas to meet demand from households, commercial buildings, and electric utilities is crucial. State-owned oil majors are encouraged to secure production rights at oil fields throughout the world.

Once a net exporter of oil, China imported 47.3% of its crude in the first half of 2006. The US Department of Energy predicts China’s crude imports will represent 75% of national oil consumption by 2025. Currently, domestic oil  producers are busy buying foreign oil assets. China has signed multi-billion overseas oil and gas contracts with Africa, Iran, Kazakhstan and Australia to ensure sufficient energy supplies for future growth.

Renewable energy and energy efficiency look set for a boost as Beijing authorities have now outlined plans to diversify their energy resources in the face of continued price rises, pollution concerns and China’s unquenchable fuel and electricity demands.

In its diversification from oil strategy, which is part of the China’s 2006-2010 Five-Year Plan, China planned for a 100% increase in renewable energy generation to cater for 15% of the country’s needs by 2020. With a whooping population of 1.28 billion, implementations of policies to goal achievement will definitely face multitudes of obstacles.
Implementation success will be good news for climate, for us and for the Earth.

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References and related news:

China Climate Change Info-Net: Ccchina
China's Energy Conditions and Policies: NDRC.gov.cn
China Energy
Data, Statistics and Analysis - Oil, Gas, Electricity: EIA.DOE

China's Sustainable Energy Future: Scenarios of Energy and Carbon Emissions: LBNs
Climate Change: China Takes Over Carbon Market: Ipsnews
List of Countries by Carbon Dioxide Emissions Per Capita: En.wikipedia.org

Deaths in China Coal Mine Accidents Down 15% in 2008 - China News
China's Renewable Energies: Ecoworld.com /2007/01/31
China to Promote Coalmine M&A-China Mining
Energy Related Carbon Dioxide Emissions: EIA
China Speeds Up Renewable Energy Development
Deaths in China Coal Mine Accidents Down 15% in 2008: English.sina.com
Chinese Coal Mine to be Powered Using Its Own Gas: Mineweb.com

 

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